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By 2025, 80 percent of the functions doctors do will be done much better and much more cheaply by machines and machine learned algorithms.
Vinod Khosla
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Vinod Khosla
Age: 69
Born: 1955
Born: January 28
Businessman
Businessperson
National Capital Region of Delhi
Learned
Functions
Technology
Machine
Better
Entrepreneur
Done
Medicine
Much
Doctors
Techie
Machines
Cheaply
Function
Algorithms
Percent
Cheaper
More quotes by Vinod Khosla
We humans think linearly but tech trends are exponential.
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It doesn't matter what your probability of failure is. If there's a 90% chance of failure, there's a 10% chance of changing the world.
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Big data will replace the need for 80% of all doctors
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I've probably failed more often than anybody else in Silicon Valley. Those don't matter. I don't remember the failures. You remember the big successes.
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Will biofuel usage require land? Absolutely, but we think the ability to use winter cover crops, degraded land, as well as using sources such as organic waste, sewage, and forest waste means that actual land usage will be limited. Just these sources can replace most of our imported oil by 2030 without touching new land.
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How would you compete against yourself?
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The U.S. has fallen well behind Europe in recognizing climate change and the implications of climate change.
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Is it 10 years, 20, 50 before we reach that tipping point where climate change becomes irreversible? Nobody can know. There's clearly a probability distribution. We need to ensure this planet, and we need to do it quickly.
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Seeking an acquisition from the start is more than just bad advice for an entrepreneur. For the entrepreneur it leads to short term tactical decisions rather than company-building decisions and in my view often reduces the probability of success.
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Now it will take a long time to scale biofuels, but I'm the only one in the world forecasting oil dropping in price to $35 a barrel by 2030. I'll put it on the record: Oil will not be able to compete with cellulosic biofuels. If you do it from food, the food will get so expensive you can't make fuel out of it.
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Spreadsheets are fiction. Believing in what you're doing and what you're building is what's important.
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I believe cellulosic fuels, biofuels made from nonfood crops are the only solution that will make a difference.
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Electric cars are coal-powered cars. Their carbon emissions can be worse than gasoline-powered cars.
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I don’t mind the low probability of success, but it better be impactful if we do succeed.
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My willingness to fail gives me the ability to succeed.
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Success comes to those that dare to dream dreams and are foolish enough to try and make them come true.
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No one will pay you to solve a non-problem.
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Any problem is an opportunity. The bigger the problem, the bigger the opportunity.
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Religion asks you to believe things without questioning, and technology and science always encourage you to ask hard questions and why it is important in science and technology. So I was always interested in science and technology.
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Doctors can be replaced by software – 80% of them can. I’d much rather have a good machine learning system diagnose my disease than the median or average doctor.
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