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Investors need to pick their poison: Either make more money when times are good and have a really ugly year every so often, or protect on the downside and don't be at the party so long when things are good.
Seth Klarman
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Seth Klarman
Age: 67
Born: 1957
Born: May 21
New York City
New York
Seth Andrew Klarman
Really
Times
Poison
Make
Often
Pick
Good
Money
Picks
Things
Need
Ugly
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Protect
Every
Either
Long
Year
Downside
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Party
Investors
More quotes by Seth Klarman
Ultimately, nothing should be more important to investors than the ability to sleep soundly at night.
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Do not trust financial market risk models. Despite the predilection of some analysts to model the financial markets using sophisticated mathematics, the markets are governed by behavioral science, not physical science.
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The single greatest edge an investor can have is a long-term orientation.
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Avoiding where others go wrong is an important step in achieving investment success. In fact, it almost assures it.
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If another person were to enter the building, it would once again be empty.
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In contrast to the speculators preoccupation with rapid gain, value investors demonstrate their risk aversion by striving to avoid loss.
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Do not suffer interim losses, relish and appreciate them
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There are no long-term lessons - ever.
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The cost of performing well in bad times can be relative underperformance in good times.
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Investors should always keep in mind that the most important metric is not the returns achieved but the returns weighed against the risks incurred. Ultimately, nothing should be more important to investors than the ability to sleep soundly at night.
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People should be highly sceptical of anyone's including their own, ability to predict the future, and instead pursue strategies that can survive whatever may occur.
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A commodity doesn't have the same characteristics as a security, characteristics that allow for analysis. Other than a recent sale or appreciation due to inflation, analyzing the current or future worth of a commodity is nearly impossible.
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As Buffett has often observed, value investing is not a concept that can be learned and gradually applied over time. It is either absorbed and adopted at once, or it is never truly learned.
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Interestingly, we have beaten the market quite handsomely over this time frame, although beating the market has never been our objective. Rather, we have consistently tried not to lose money and, in doing so, have not only protected on the downside but also outperformed on the upside.
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My view is that an investor is better off knowing a lot about a few investments than knowing a little about each of a great many holdings. One's very best idea's are likely to generate higher returns for a given level of risk than one's hundredth or thousandth best idea.
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Successful investors must temper the arrogance of taking a stand with a large dose of humility, accepting that despite their efforts and care, they may in fact be wrong.
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Individual and institutional investors alike frequently demonstrate an inability to make long-term investment decisions based on business fundamentals.
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Investing today may well be harder than it has been at any time in our three decades of existence.
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At Baupost, we constantly ask: 'What should we work on today?' We keep calling and talking. We keep gathering information. You never have perfect information. So you work, work and work. Sometimes we thumb through ValuLine. How you fill your inbox is very important.
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Analysts recommendations may not produce good results. In part this is due to the pressure placed on these analysts to recommend frequently rather than wisely.
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