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In a rising market, everyone makes money and a value philosophy is unnecessary. But because there is no certain way to predict what the market will do, one must follow a value philosophy at all times.

Seth Klarman

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Seth Klarman
Age: 67
Born: 1957
Born: May 21
New York City
New York
Seth Andrew Klarman
Times
Predict
Everyone
Unnecessary
Makes
Rising
Money
Market
Certain
Follow
Must
Value
Way
Philosophy
Values

More quotes by Seth Klarman

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Do not trust financial market risk models. Despite the predilection of some analysts to model the financial markets using sophisticated mathematics, the markets are governed by behavioral science, not physical science.
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Value investing by its very nature is contrarian.
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When a stock is selling at a discount to liquidation value per share, a near rock-bottom appraisal, it is frequently an attractive investment.
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All an investor can do is follow a consistently disciplined and rigorous approach over time the returns will come
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The near absence of bargains works as a reverse indicator for us. When we find there is little worth buying, there is probably much worth selling.
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At equal returns, public investments are generally superior to private investments not only because they are more liquid but also because amidst distress, public markets are more likely than private ones to offer attractive opportunities to average down.
Seth Klarman
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When you buy bargains and they become better bargains, it is easy to start to question yourself, which can impair your judgement. Real or imagined concerns about client redemptions, employee defections can greatly influence behavior away from rational.
Seth Klarman
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Pressure to produce over the short term - a gun to the head of everyone - encourages excessive risk taking which manifests itself in several ways - fully invested posture at all times, the use of leverage, and a market centric orientation that makes it difficult to stand apart from the crowd and take a long term perspective.
Seth Klarman
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Risk is not inherent in an investment it is always relative to the price paid. Uncertainty is not the same as risk. Indeed, when great uncertainty - such as in the fall of 2008 - drives securities prices to especially low levels, they often become less risky investments.
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The inability to hold cash and the pressure to be fully invested at all times meant that when the plug was pulled out of the tub, all boats dropped as the water rushed down the drain.
Seth Klarman
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To a value investor, investments come in three varieties: undervalued at one price, fairly valued at another price, and overvalued at still some higher price. The goal is to buy the first, avoid the second, and sell the third.
Seth Klarman
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Once you adopt a value-investment strategy, any other investment behavior starts to seem like gambling.
Seth Klarman
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Value investing requires a great deal of hard work, unusually strict discipline, and a long-term investment horizon. Few are willing and able to devote sufficient time and effort to become value investors, and only a fraction of those have the proper mind-set to succeed.
Seth Klarman
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Hold cash when opportunities are not presenting themselves.
Seth Klarman
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It's awful to have a depression, but it's a great thing to have a depression mentality because it means that we are not speculating, we are not living beyond our means, we don't quit our job to take a big risk because we know we might not get another job. There is something stable about a country, a society built on those values.
Seth Klarman
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Why should the immediate opportunity set be the only one considered, when tomorrow's may well be considerably more fertile than today's?
Seth Klarman
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Individual and institutional investors alike frequently demonstrate an inability to make long-term investment decisions based on business fundamentals.
Seth Klarman
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In a crisis, stocks of financial companies are great investments, because the tide is bound to turn. Massive losses on bad loans and soured investments are irrelevant to value improving trends and future prospects are what matter, regardless of whether profits will have to be used to cover loan losses and equity shortfalls for years to come.
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Patience and discipline can make you look foolishly out of touch until they make you look prudent and even prescient
Seth Klarman
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Depressions aren't good but the depression mentality is good.
Seth Klarman