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If inflation-adjusted interest rates decline in a given country, its currency is likely to decline.
Ray Dalio
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Ray Dalio
Age: 75
Born: 1949
Born: August 8
Businessman
Hedge Fund Manager
Investor
Jackson Heights
Queens
Raymond Dalio
Raymond Thomas Dalio
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Interest
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Rates
Inflation
Currency
Decline
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Each person assesses each other person's credibility on different dimensions, because people are strong and weak in different things.
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There is giant untapped potential in disagreement, especially if the disagreement is between two or more thoughtful people
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I treasure the fact there's media freedom, but with that goes responsibility. I think that there should be a self-regulatory organization and that they should start to think about standards. Because I think a lot of people say, I don't know how to read what is true versus somebody else's interpretation.
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People with good work habits have to-do lists that are reasonably prioritized, and they make themselves do what needs to be done. By contrast, people with poor work habits almost randomly react to the stuff that comes at them, or they can't bring themselves to do the things they need to do but don't like to do (or are unable to do).
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I don't think there is such a thing as the perfect system.
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Nature is a machine. The family is a machine. The life cycle is like a machine.
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Life is like a giant smorgasbord of more delicious alternatives than you can ever hope to taste. So you have to reject having some things you want in order to get other things you want more.
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I do think people need to recognize that a lot of journalists want to write a story a certain way because the story will be better or the portrayal will be better, or at least recognize that whenever you're looking at something, you're seeing it through somebody's eyes who may actually not be the person who is the most insightful.
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Don't worry about looking good - worry about achieving your goals.
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With the media, we don't know what's true, and we don't have radical transparency because we're seeing everything through somebody else's eyes. There's no other industry that has as much power and as much freedom and as little quality control. I can't imagine how anyone could not think that's a problem.
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Some people seek to understand, and some people seek to portray what they want to portray.
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For every mistake that you learn from you will save thousands of similar mistakes in the future, so if you treat mistakes as learning opportunities that yield rapid improvements you should be excited by them. But if you treat them as bad things, you will make yourself and others miserable, and you won't grow.
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It all comes down to interest rates. As an investor, all you're doing is putting up a lump-sump payment for a future cash flow.
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Know what your people are like, and make sure they do their jobs excellently.
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Constantly probe the people who report to you, and encourage them to probe you.
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The big question is: When will the term structure of interest rates change? That's the question to be worried about.
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If you can stare hard at your problems, they almost always shrink or disappear, because you almost always find a better way of dealing with them than if you don't face them head on. The more difficult the problem, the more important it is that you stare at it and deal with it.
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I'm just saying that if you understand how the economic machine works, it just works like a machine. There are cause-effect relationships.
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I also believe that everyone needs to think independently and make their own decisions on what makes the most sense.
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When there is pain, the animal instinct is 'fight or flight' (i.e., to either strike back or run away) - reflect instead. When you can calm yourself down, thinking about the dilemma that is causing you pain will bring you to a higher level and enlighten you, leading to progress.
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