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People have different ways of interpreting history.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
History
Different
Way
People
Interpreting
Ways

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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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