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People have different ways of interpreting history.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Different
Way
People
Interpreting
Ways
History

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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver