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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Masquerade
Forecasts
Precise
Accurate
Ones

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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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