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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Mean
Apologizing
Accountability
Doesn
More quotes by Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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