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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Accountability
Doesn
Mean
Apologizing

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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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