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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Mean
Apologizing
Accountability
Doesn

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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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