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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Mean
Apologizing
Accountability
Doesn

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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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