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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Doesn
Mean
Apologizing
Accountability

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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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