Quote

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

Nate Silver

Change background

T
T
T

Change font

TAGS & TOPICS

Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
System
Trying
Forecast
Forecasts
Influence

More quotes by Nate Silver

Image
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
Image
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
Image
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
Image
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
Image
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
Image
I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
Image
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
Image
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
Image
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
Nate Silver
Image
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
Image
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
Image
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
Image
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
Image
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
Image
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
Image
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
Image
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
Image
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
Image
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
Image
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver