Quote

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

Nate Silver

Change background

T
T
T

Change font

TAGS & TOPICS

Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
System
Trying
Forecast
Forecasts
Influence

More quotes by Nate Silver

Image
I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
Image
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
Image
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
Image
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
Image
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
Image
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
Image
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
Image
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
Image
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
Image
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
Image
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
Image
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
Image
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
Image
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
Image
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
Image
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
Image
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
Image
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
Image
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver