Quote

You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.

Nate Silver

Change background

T
T
T

Change font

TAGS & TOPICS

Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Forecast
Forecasts
Influence
System
Trying

More quotes by Nate Silver

Image
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
Image
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
Image
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
Image
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
Image
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
Image
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
Image
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
Image
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
Image
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
Image
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
Image
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
Image
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
Image
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver
Image
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
Image
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
Image
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
Image
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
Image
I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
Image
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
Image
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver