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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Opportunity
Doesn
Remember
Many
Impression
Make
Opportunities
Congress
Public
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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