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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Sure
Human
Humans
Endeavor
Make
Name
Good
Choices
Time
Names
Quality
High

More quotes by Nate Silver

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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver