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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Make
Name
Good
Choices
Time
Names
Quality
High
Sure
Human
Humans
Endeavor

More quotes by Nate Silver

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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver