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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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High
Sure
Human
Humans
Endeavor
Make
Name
Good
Choices
More quotes by Nate Silver
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver