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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Anything
Trying
Tricky

More quotes by Nate Silver

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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
Nate Silver