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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Tricky
Anything
Trying

More quotes by Nate Silver

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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver