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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Trying
Tricky
Anything
More quotes by Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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