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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Tricky
Anything
Trying

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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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