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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
President
Event
Doesn
Foreign
Majors
Major
Congress
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Events
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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