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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
President
Event
Doesn
Foreign
Majors
Major
Congress
Gets
Events
Policy

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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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