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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Doesn
Foreign
Majors
Major
Congress
Gets
Events
Policy
President
Event

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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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