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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Major
Congress
Gets
Events
Policy
President
Event
Doesn
Foreign
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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