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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Really
Things
Think
Thinking
Like
Control
People
Lives
Feel
Feels

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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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