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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Control
Like
Lives
People
Feel
Feels
Really
Things
Think
Thinking

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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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