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I don't think you should limit what you read.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Limit
Limits
Read
Think
Thinking

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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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