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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Modeled
Wells
Well
Things
More quotes by Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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