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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Modeled
Wells
Well
Things
More quotes by Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
Nate Silver
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver