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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Modeled
Wells
Well
Things

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver