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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Write
Stuff
Writing
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver