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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Appreciate
Success
Stills
Still
People
Ephemeral
More quotes by Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
People have different ways of interpreting history.
Nate Silver
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
Nate Silver
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver