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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Appreciate
Success
Stills
Still
People
Ephemeral

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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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