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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Ephemeral
Appreciate
Success
Stills
Still
People
More quotes by Nate Silver
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
Nate Silver