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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Ephemeral
Appreciate
Success
Stills
Still
People

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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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