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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Ephemeral
Appreciate
Success
Stills
Still
People

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
Nate Silver
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
Nate Silver
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver