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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Computer
Like
Spreadsheet
Busy
Looked

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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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