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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Spreadsheet
Busy
Looked
Computer
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More quotes by Nate Silver
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Nate Silver
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
Nate Silver
The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver