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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Loses
Accentuates
Often
Accentuate
Political
Signal
Doe
Coverage
Signals
Frequently
Noise
Lose
More quotes by Nate Silver
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
