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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Happen
Funny
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Human
Humans
Intersect
Things
Data
Judgment
More quotes by Nate Silver
I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
