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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Human
Humans
Intersect
Things
Data
Judgment
Happen
Funny
Bigs
Happens

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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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