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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Humans
Intersect
Things
Data
Judgment
Happen
Funny
Bigs
Happens
Human

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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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