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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Funny
Bigs
Happens
Human
Humans
Intersect
Things
Data
Judgment
Happen

More quotes by Nate Silver

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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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