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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Living
World
Gallup
Google
Marketing
Beats

More quotes by Nate Silver

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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Nate Silver
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver