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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Gallup
Google
Marketing
Beats
Living
World

More quotes by Nate Silver

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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
Nate Silver
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
Nate Silver
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
Nate Silver
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
Nate Silver
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver