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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Beats
Living
World
Gallup
Google
Marketing

More quotes by Nate Silver

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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Nate Silver
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
Nate Silver
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
Nate Silver
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Nate Silver
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
Nate Silver
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
Nate Silver
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
Nate Silver
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
Nate Silver
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
Nate Silver
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
Nate Silver
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
Nate Silver