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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Ideas
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More quotes by Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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