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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Ideas
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Marketing
Sometimes
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More quotes by Nate Silver
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
Nate Silver
Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
Nate Silver
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
Nate Silver
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
Nate Silver
