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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
Nate Silver
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Nate Silver