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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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