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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
Nate Silver
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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver
I don't think you should limit what you read.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
Nate Silver