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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver

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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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People have different ways of interpreting history.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.
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Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
Nate Silver