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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Basically
Discipline
High
Look
Looks
Pundits
Really
Bullshit
World
Leads
Plenty

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In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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