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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
World
Leads
Plenty
Basically
Discipline
High
Look
Looks
Pundits
Really
Bullshit

More quotes by Nate Silver

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I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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