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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Discipline
High
Look
Looks
Pundits
Really
Bullshit
World
Leads
Plenty
Basically

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Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.
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Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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To my friends, I’m kind of sexually gay but ethnically straight.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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I don't think you should limit what you read.
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New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
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