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Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
High
Look
Looks
Pundits
Really
Bullshit
World
Leads
Plenty
Basically
Discipline

More quotes by Nate Silver

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People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.
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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Nate Silver
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Nate Silver
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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You get steely nerves playing poker.
Nate Silver