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One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
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More quotes by Nate Silver

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All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
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I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
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You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
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Success makes you less intimidated by things.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
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Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
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I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance.
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A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
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If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.
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First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
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I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
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