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The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

Nate Silver

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Nate Silver
Age: 46
Born: 1978
Born: January 13
Journalist
Mathematician
Poker Player
Statistician
East Lansing
Michigan
Nathaniel Read Silver
Nathaniel Read Nate Silver
Distracts
Signal
Signals
Marketing
Noise
Truth

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The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
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Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
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Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
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Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.
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Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
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If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
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I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
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Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
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When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
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I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about.
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People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
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I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.
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Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
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You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
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Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.
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